Oct 07, 2026


Every time the Bank of Canada makes an announcement, the headlines start. “Will rates drop?” / “Should buyers wait?” / “Is now finally the time to get back into the market?”

And meanwhile, something pretty important has been happening quietly in the background.

Fixed mortgage rates have been going UP! Wait... what?

Didn't we spend the last year talking about interest rates coming down? Yes.

And this is exactly why Canadian buyers need to understand one very important thing: The Bank of Canada does NOT directly control fixed mortgage rates.

So if you're sitting on the sidelines waiting for the next Bank of Canada announcement before buying a home in Barrie, Innisfil or Simcoe County, you may be watching the wrong number.

Let's talk about it.

What's the Difference Between a Fixed and Variable Mortgage Rate?

The key distinction is that variable mortgage rates are closely tied to the Bank of Canada/prime rate, while fixed mortgage rates are driven much more by the bond market, particularly Government of Canada bond yields. 

And that creates a very timely story for buyers in Barrie, Innisfil and Simcoe County.

Let's make this simple because mortgages already have enough terminology to make perfectly intelligent people want a glass of wine.

A variable mortgage rate is closely connected to your lender's prime rate. Prime is heavily influenced by the Bank of Canada's overnight rate.

So: Bank of Canada cuts → Prime generally falls → Variable mortgage rates generally fall.

Easy enough.

But fixed mortgage rates work differently! 

They're influenced much more heavily by the bond market, particularly Government of Canada bond yields. And bond yields don't wait politely for the Bank of Canada to make an announcement.

They move based on what financial markets believe is coming next: inflation, economic growth, government borrowing, future interest rates and other economic risks.

That means fixed rates can start rising even while Canadians are waiting for the Bank of Canada to cut rates.

And that's essentially what we've been seeing.


What the last five years actually show

Here are the actual rates on newly advanced uninsured 5-year fixed mortgages rather than banks' advertised “posted rates.” CMHC's historical data shows this progression: roughly 2% in early 2021, climbing to 2.5% by the end of 2021, roughly 5.2% by the end of 2022, around 6% at the end of 2023, falling through 2024 to roughly 4.6%, and settling around the low-to-mid 4% range during 2025. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

The pandemic lows were extraordinary. Some of the lowest advertised/discounted 5-year fixed rates actually reached about 1.39%. That wasn't normal mortgage pricing—it was an historic anomaly. 

The five-year fixed mortgage roller coaster




But 2026 is the really interesting part

This is what I want readers to understand.

During the summer, competitive fixed rates became much more attractive. In July, for example, the lowest insured 5-year fixed rate was around 4.09%, with some shorter fixed terms actually below 4%. 

Then something happened while everybody kept staring at the Bank of Canada. Bond yields started climbing.

The Government of Canada 5-year bond yield was approximately 3.01% on June 30. By late September it had reached approximately 3.69%. Bank of Canada And fixed mortgage rates followed.

By October 6, the lowest listed 5-year fixed rate was around 4.34%, while average insured 5-year fixed rates were approximately 4.96% among the major banks and 4.88% among national lenders.


You can wait for the Bank of Canada to lower rates and still end up paying a higher mortgage rate.

That's the misconception worth educating people about!


What Have Fixed Mortgage Rates Done Over the Last 10 Years?




Important: these are posted benchmark rates, not necessarily the discounted fixed rate a buyer would actually receive. They're best for showing the trend over time. Treadstone Associates

2016–2021: relatively stable/low-rate environment
2022: sharp move upward
2023–2024: peak period
2025–2026: improvement, but nowhere near the ultra-cheap mortgage environment people became accustomed to.

And there is an even more dramatic consumer-rate example: actual discounted 5-year fixed offers fell as low as about 1.39% in December 2020. Statistics Canada

People shouldn't base today's buying decisions on the abnormal mortgage rates they remember from 2020–2021.


What Have Fixed Mortgage Rates Done Over the Last 20 Years?



Fixed vs. variable: this statistic surprised me

According to CMHC's 2025 Mortgage Consumer Survey:

62% had fixed-rate mortgages, 25% variable, and 9% had a combination of fixed and variable. Fixed declined from 69% in 2024, while variable increased from 23% to 25%. CMHC

There's another useful way to measure it. Bank of Canada data covering the stock of mortgages at federally regulated institutions found roughly 80% of outstanding mortgages were fixed and 20% variable as of September 2024. The difference is because the two studies measure different populations/definitions, so I would not mix the statistics without explaining that. Bank of Canada

For a consumer blog, I'd use the CMHC 62% / 25% / 9% figures because they're easier to understand.

What type of mortgage are Canadians choosing?



VARIABLE RATE → Watch the Bank of Canada 

The Bank of Canada changes its overnight rate → lenders' prime rates generally respond → variable mortgage rates respond.

FIXED RATE → Watch the bond market

Government bond yields rise → lenders' funding costs/market pricing rise → fixed mortgage rates tend to rise.

Bond yields fall → fixed rates can fall.

So when someone tells you:

“I'm waiting until the Bank of Canada cuts rates before I buy.”

Your response becomes:

“Which rate are you waiting for?”

Because that's the entire point.

Does Half a Percentage Point Really Matter?

YES!!!! Here is what 0.25% actually costs

For example, on a $600,000 mortgage amortized over 25 years:




Going from 4.00% to 4.50% is about $165/month, or nearly $2,000 per year.

And there's another consequence buyers forget: a higher mortgage rate can reduce how much they qualify to borrow.

That matters enormously for someone waiting six months hoping rates improve while simultaneously watching fixed rates rise.


Should You Wait for Mortgage Rates to Drop Before Buying a Home?

This is where I think buyers need to change the question!!!! Instead of asking: “When will rates drop?”

Ask: “If the right property comes along today, do the numbers work for me today?”

Because nobody... not your Realtor, your mortgage broker, economists or the guy on TikTok with seventeen charts behind him can guarantee where mortgage rates will be six months from now.

And waiting has a cost too! 

The rate could fall. The rate could rise. 

Home prices could fall. Home prices could rise.

The property you wanted could sell. Or another opportunity could appear.

That's why I don't believe buyers should make a real estate decision based solely on trying to perfectly time an interest rate.

What Should Barrie, Innisfil and Simcoe County Buyers Do Right Now?

Before deciding to wait, talk to a qualified mortgage professional and find out:

What fixed rates are actually available to you today?

What variable rates are available?

What's the difference in monthly payment?

How much do you qualify for?

Can your rate be held while you shop?

And what happens to your purchasing power if rates move another 0.25% or 0.50%?

Then we can look at the other side of the equation:

What is happening with home prices and negotiating opportunities in the local real estate market?

Because your mortgage rate is only one part of the purchase.

Sometimes the opportunity to negotiate $25,000, $40,000 or $50,000 off a home's price matters a lot more than trying to predict the next 0.25% move in interest rates.

And that's the conversation I wish more buyers were having.


Mortgage rates and examples in this article are for general educational purposes only and can change without notice. Available rates depend on the borrower, lender, mortgage type, down payment, credit profile, property and other factors. I am a Real Estate Broker, not a mortgage broker or financial advisor. Speak with a qualified mortgage professional for advice specific to your situation.



Thinking about buying in Barrie, Innisfil, Simcoe County or around Lake Simcoe?

Before you decide to wait for “rates to come down,” let's look at the whole picture today's home prices, negotiating opportunities, inventory and what your budget can actually buy right now.





Gemma Leggett | Real Estate Broker
Barrie & Lake Simcoe Waterfront Real Estate

...
Oct 01, 2026

Could Simcoe County Actually Help Pay Your Down Payment?


You can afford rent every month,. You have a job. You’re saving.

You’ve even stopped pretending that a $9 coffee is the sole reason you don’t own a house. 😂 But somehow, the down payment still feels like the giant wall standing between you and homeownership.


Then someone tells you:

“Did you know Simcoe County has a program that can help with your down payment?”

Excuse me...

The WHAT?!

Yes. It’s real.

The County of Simcoe Affordable Homeownership Program can provide eligible renter households with up to 10% of the purchase price of a home toward their down payment, in the form of a 20-year forgivable loan.

Let's put that into actual dollars.

A $500,000 home could mean up to $50,000 in down payment assistance.

Now I have your attention. 😉

But before you mentally move into your new house and start choosing paint colours, there are some VERY important rules you need to understand.

And there’s one particularly important update right now.


So why am I telling you about a program you can't currently apply for?

Because if you're planning to buy a home in Barrie, Innisfil or elsewhere in Simcoe County, you should know it exists.

Programs change. Funding changes. Applications may reopen.

And I'd much rather you know about potential opportunities before you find your dream home than three days before closing. 😂


Is the Simcoe County Down Payment Program Really Free Money?

Not exactly. And this is where the word “grant” can be misleading. The assistance is actually a 20-year forgivable loan.

There are no monthly payments required on the County's loan, but certain events can trigger repayment. The assistance is registered on title behind your first mortgage.

So don't think: “The County is giving me free money!”

Think: “The County may help me get into homeownership, provided I follow the program rules.”

Much less exciting sentence! YES, but much more accurate. 😂

And this is absolutely something you should review with your lawyer before buying.


How Much Down Payment Assistance Can You Get in Simcoe County?

The program can provide up to 10% of the home's purchase price, subject to eligibility, approval and available funding.

Here's what that could look like:



Suddenly, we're not talking about saving $50 by skipping dinner out.

We're talking about potentially tens of thousands of dollars toward a down payment.

But these are illustrations—not promises of funding.

And just because a program allows a certain purchase price does not mean a lender will approve you for that amount.

Your mortgage qualification and your comfortable monthly budget are two separate conversations.


Who Qualifies for the Simcoe County Affordable Homeownership Program?

This program is intended for low-to-moderate-income renter households who are financially ready to own and maintain a home but need help accumulating the down payment.

According to the County's current 2025–2026 program materials, some of the major requirements include:

  • You must currently live in Simcoe County, including Barrie or Orillia.

  • You must be a qualifying renter household.

  • You need proof of mortgage pre-approval.

  • You cannot currently own a home or have an ownership interest in a residence or land.

  • The current application states a maximum net household income of $129,200.

  • Personal assets are generally limited to $50,000, with specific rules around gifts, savings and accessible RRSP funds.

  • You must be at least 18.

  • You must meet the program's Canadian citizenship/immigration-status requirements.

  • You cannot have applicable outstanding Ontario social-housing arrears.

A little warning about the income rules...

This is one area where I would not try to decide your own eligibility based on one number you find online.

The County's different published materials contain wording that can be confusing around how household income is calculated. So if you're anywhere near the income limit, don't assume:

“I make too much.” Or: “Perfect! I qualify!”

Call the County and ask them to calculate it according to the rules currently in effect. Google is wonderful. Google is NOT your program administrator. 😂


Do You Have to Be a First-Time Homebuyer?

Here's one of the biggest surprises: No.

According to the County's FAQ, you do not have to be a first-time homebuyer.

Previous homeowners may potentially qualify as long as they do not currently own property and meet the other program requirements.

That means this program isn't necessarily only for the 25-year-old buying their first condo.

It could potentially be relevant to someone who previously owned a home and is starting over after a major life change, provided they meet the eligibility requirements.

Divorce. Separation. A major financial reset. Life happens.

Previous homeownership alone doesn't automatically answer whether you qualify. 

 


Can You Qualify if You Currently Live With Your Parents?

This one catches people.

If you're simply living with family or paying your parents room and board, the County says that does not qualify you as a renter household.

However, if you're renting a separate rental unit within their home that can be rented to someone else after you leave, that situation may qualify.

So: “I give Mom $600 every month.” and “I rent a separate basement apartment from my parents.” are not necessarily the same thing under this program.

Ask before assuming.


Does the Program Include Barrie and Innisfil?

Yes.

This is particularly important because people sometimes get confused about Barrie.

Barrie is a separated city geographically located within Simcoe County, but the County of Simcoe is the provincially appointed housing Service Manager for the area and its housing responsibilities include Barrie and Orillia.

The program materials specifically include current residents of Simcoe County, including Barrie and Orillia. Innisfil is one of Simcoe County's municipalities.

So if you're renting in: 

Barrie? Potentially.

Innisfil? Potentially.

Orillia? Potentially.

But if you currently live outside the program's service area and simply want to move to Barrie or Innisfil, that's different.

The current program requires applicants to already be residents of the applicable area.


What Kind of Home Can You Buy With the Program?

This is another good part.

You're not restricted to one mysterious government-approved house with brown carpet from 1987. 😂

The current published maximum purchase price is $799,000, although program limits can be adjusted.

Eligible housing can include:



BOTH Resale properties AND New construction

Resale homes require an inspection by a certified home inspector, while new construction has specific Tarion documentation requirements.

The home must also be the home you live in.

This is not a down-payment program for buying yourself a cute little investment condo and becoming a landlord.

The property must be your principal residence.


Does a $799,000 Maximum Mean You Should Buy a $799,000 Home?

Absolutely not.

This is where I put my Realtor hat on. A program limit is not your personal budget. And your maximum mortgage approval isn't necessarily your personal budget either.

When I'm helping buyers look at homes in Barrie, Innisfil and Simcoe County, I want them thinking beyond:

“Can I buy it?” 

I also want them asking: “Can I comfortably live here after I buy it?”

Because your monthly housing costs can include: Mortgage. Property taxes. Home insurance. Utilities. Maintenance. Condo fees, if applicable.

And apparently houses have absolutely no respect for your budget when the furnace decides it's done with life. 😂

You want the keys... But you also want enough money left over to enjoy living there.


Can You Use the Simcoe County Assistance for Your Deposit?

This is VERY important if you're actively shopping.

Don't confuse your down payment with the deposit required when you make an offer.

The County says its assistance is paid at closing directly to your lawyer in trust. It does not pay your closing costs, and deposits required on new construction are the buyer's responsibility.

So you still need to plan for money outside the County assistance.

That can include your:

Offer deposit + home inspection + lawyer + adjustments + other closing expenses.

This is exactly why I want buyers speaking with their mortgage professional before we start seriously shopping.

Falling in love with the house first and figuring out the money second is generally not my preferred order. 😉


What Happens if You Sell the Home Before 20 Years?

Now we get to the fine print. Because remember: This is a forgivable loan, not simply a cheque.

Selling before the end of the 20-year period can trigger repayment under the program's rules.

Depending on the circumstances, repayment can include the original assistance plus a share of the home's appreciation.

For example:

You purchase for $500,000.

The County provides $50,000, representing 10%.

Later, you sell for $600,000 before the loan has been forgiven.

The home increased by $100,000.

A 10% share of that appreciation would be $10,000.

So, in a simplified illustration, repayment could be:

$50,000 original assistance + $10,000 appreciation = $60,000

There may also be legal/discharge costs, and actual repayment depends on the program agreement and circumstances.

Other events—including certain refinancing or no longer using the property as your principal residence—can also affect repayment.

So before selling, refinancing or making another major change:

Call the County first.

Do not rely on my cute little math example. 😂



What Should You Do if Applications Are Currently Closed?

This is probably the most important question right now.

As of October 1, 2026, the County says it is not accepting further applications because of the existing waiting list and available funding.

That doesn't mean you sit around doing nothing.

If buying a home is one of your goals, use this time to get yourself ready.

1. Check the County's Current Program Page

Do not rely on an old Facebook post, TikTok video, downloaded brochure—or even this article six months from now.

Check the County of Simcoe Affordable Housing Programs page for the current application status.

2. Speak With a Mortgage Professional

Find out what you can actually qualify for.

Then go one step further and decide what monthly payment you're comfortable with. Those numbers aren't always the same.

3. Ask the County About Your Specific Situation

Especially if you have questions about:

Income. Assets. RRSPs. Gifted funds. Previous homeownership. Living with family. Rental arrangements.

Don't eliminate yourself from a program because you think you don't qualify.

And don't build your entire buying plan around funding you think you're getting.

4. Start Building Your Deposit and Closing-Cost Fund

Even with down-payment assistance, buying a home requires cash planning.

The stronger your financial position is, the more options you'll have.

5. Find Out What Your Budget Actually Buys

This is where I come in.

What does $450,000 buy in Barrie? What about $500,000 in Innisfil?  Would a condo make sense? A townhouse?

Should you look slightly outside Barrie?

Are there areas where your budget stretches further?

That's a much more useful conversation than scrolling through $900,000 houses when your actual buying range is $500,000.

Although yes... We've all done the fantasy Realtor.ca scroll. 😂

Who can confirm eligibility and program availability?

Contact the County of Simcoe Housing Programs Department at 705-725-7215 ext. 1119 or iah@simcoe.ca. The County decides program eligibility and funding; your lender decides mortgage approval. 

Your lawyer advises you on the legal agreement 

And your Realtor helps you figure out WHAT AND WHERE to buy once those pieces start coming together

TEAM EFFORT!



Could Buying a Home in Barrie or Innisfil Be Closer Than You Think?

Maybe. And sometimes the first step isn't touring houses.

It's figuring out what programs exist, what you qualify for, what you can comfortably afford and what that budget actually buys in today's market.

If you're renting in Barrie, Innisfil or Simcoe County and wondering whether homeownership is realistic, let's start there.

No pressure.

No pretending you should already know everything. And definitely no touring the dream kitchen before figuring out whether we can afford the dream kitchen. 😂

Tell me your budget, your wish list and where you'd like to live.

I'll help you understand what's available in the local market and work alongside your mortgage professional so you can build a realistic buying plan.

Ready to Find Out What You Could Buy?

Contact me: Gemma Leggett and mention “BUYING PLAN.”

Let's find out what your budget could actually buy in Barrie, Innisfil and Simcoe County.

Gemma Leggett | Barrie & Lake Simcoe Waterfront Real Estate Broker

Related: Buying a Condo in Barrie and Innisfil or How to Buy A House?


 


Where Can You Check the Latest Simcoe County Homeownership Program Rules?

Because funding, income limits, purchase-price limits and application availability can change, always verify the latest information directly with the County of Simcoe.

Official sources




Disclaimer: This article is for general information only and is not mortgage, financial, legal or tax advice. I am a real estate broker, not the administrator of the County of Simcoe Affordable Homeownership Program. Eligibility, funding availability, income limits, purchase-price limits and program rules can change. Confirm your eligibility and current program details directly with the County of Simcoe and obtain advice from your mortgage professional and lawyer before making purchasing decisions. Program information checked October 1, 2026.

...
Aug 03, 2026

Why Are More Ontario Homes Going Into Power of Sale in 2026? What Every Homeowner Should Know Before It's Too Late?

 

If you've been browsing homes on REALTOR.ca lately, you may have noticed something different.

There seem to be more Power of Sale properties on the market than there were a year or two ago. It's not your imagination.

Across Ontario, more homeowners are finding themselves under financial pressure, and as a result, Power of Sale listings are becoming more common.

As a Real Estate Broker serving Innisfil, Barrie, and communities throughout Simcoe County and York Region, I've been watching this trend closely. It's also one of the questions I'm hearing more often from both buyers and homeowners.

FIRST OFF, you can read my previous blog WHAT IS A POWER OF SALE CLICK HERE


Now, why is this happening?

The answer isn't as simple as rising interest rates. It's actually the result of several financial pressures coming together at the same time.

Let's take a closer look.



1. Mortgage Renewals Are Catching Up!


During 2020 and 2021, many Canadians locked in mortgage rates below 2%.

At the time, borrowing money was historically inexpensive, and monthly mortgage payments were far more manageable than they are today.

Fast forward five years. Those mortgages are now coming up for renewal.

Even though interest rates have eased from their highest levels, today's renewal rates remain significantly higher than what many homeowners originally signed.

For some families, renewing their mortgage has meant paying several hundred dollars more every month.

Others have seen increases of well over $1,000 per month.

For households already managing tight budgets, that increase alone can create serious financial pressure.



2. It's Not Just About Mortgage Payments

Many people assume homeowners end up in financial difficulty because they can no longer afford their mortgage. In reality, that's rarely the only reason.

Over the past several years, nearly every household expense has increased.

Families are paying more for:

  • Groceries
  • Utilities
  • Property taxes
  • Home insurance
  • Vehicle expenses
  • Children's activities
  • Everyday living

Each increase may seem manageable on its own. Together, they can completely change a family's monthly budget. Sometimes it's not the mortgage that breaks the budget.

It's everything else.




3. Many Homeowners Borrowed Against Rising Home Values

During Ontario's housing boom, property values increased rapidly. Many homeowners suddenly had access to significant equity. Some refinanced to renovate their homes, others consolidated debt, some helped children purchase their first home, others invested in rental properties.

None of these decisions were necessarily wrong. In many cases, they made perfect sense at the time.

The challenge comes when borrowing costs rise, home values level off, and monthly payments increase.

A homeowner who once had plenty of financial flexibility may suddenly have far fewer options available.



4. Homes Aren't Selling Overnight Anymore

Just a few years ago, many homes sold within days. Sometimes on the coming soon sign and didn't even go on the market! 

Today's market is very different.

While well-priced homes continue to sell, buyers have more inventory, more negotiating power, and more time to make decisions.

That means some homeowners facing financial hardship can't sell quickly enough to solve the problem before missed mortgage payments begin adding up. Time becomes just as important as price.



5. Life Doesn't Always Go According to Plan

Sometimes it has nothing to do with interest rates. Life happens! 

A job loss. A divorce. A serious illness. A business slowdown. The loss of a spouse.

Unexpected medical expenses.

Even financially responsible homeowners can experience events that dramatically change their financial situation.

Power of Sale often begins with circumstances people never expected to face.




Does This Mean Ontario's Housing Market Is Crashing?

No.

Power of Sale listings are increasing, but they still represent a relatively small portion of the overall housing market. Most homeowners continue making their mortgage payments successfully.

However, the increase does tell us something important: Some households are feeling significantly more financial pressure than they were just a few years ago.

It's a reminder that today's market requires careful planning, realistic budgeting, and sometimes asking for help sooner rather than later.



What Should Homeowners Do If They're Feeling Financial Pressure?

The biggest mistake is waiting! Many homeowners avoid opening letters from their lender because they're hoping things will improve.

Unfortunately, delays often reduce the number of available options.

If you're struggling with mortgage payments, consider speaking with:

  • Your lender
  • A mortgage broker
  • A real estate lawyer
  • An experienced local Realtor

Sometimes refinancing is possible. Sometimes restructuring payments works. Sometimes selling before legal action begins protects far more equity than waiting until a Power of Sale process has already started.

Every situation is different, but acting early almost always provides more choices.




What If Your Home Is Worth Less Than Your Mortgage?

Here’s a situation homeowners don’t always think about. Imagine someone bought a home in 2021 for $1.3 million and financed approximately $1.2 million. Today, suppose that home is worth only $870,000.

That homeowner could be roughly $330,000 short before even accounting for selling costs, legal fees or other amounts owing.

And here’s the part many people don’t realize:

They can’t necessarily just sell the house and walk away.

The mortgage normally needs to be discharged from title on closing. If the sale proceeds aren’t enough to cover what is owed, the homeowner needs professional advice about how that shortfall will be dealt with.

And allowing the property to go into Power of Sale doesn’t necessarily make the shortfall disappear.

This is why knowing your home's REAL value matters.

If you’re worried about your mortgage, don’t base your decisions on what you paid in 2021 or what you hope your home is still worth.

Find out what it could realistically sell for today.

I can help you understand the real estate side,  current market value, comparable sales and what a sale could realistically look like. 

Your lender, lawyer, mortgage professional or other appropriate advisor can help you understand the financial and legal options.

The earlier you know the numbers, the more informed your next decision can be.


Local Insight: What I'm Seeing in Barrie, Innisfil & Simcoe County

While every homeowner's situation is unique, I'm seeing buyers ask more questions about Power of Sale properties than they did just a year ago.

Many are wondering whether these homes represent opportunities.

Others are simply trying to understand why they're appearing more frequently.

The important thing to remember is that every Power of Sale has a story.

Most are not the result of poor financial decisions.

They're the result of changing economic conditions, higher borrowing costs, and unexpected life events that affect everyday families.



SO NOW WHAT?

The increase in Power of Sale listings isn't about panic. It's about understanding today's market.

For homeowners, recognizing the warning signs early can create options that may not exist later.

For buyers, understanding why these properties are becoming more common can help you make informed decisions rather than chasing what appears to be a bargain.

Whether you're buying, selling, or simply trying to understand today's Ontario housing market, knowledge is one of the most valuable tools you can have.


Gemma's Local Insight

One trend I'm watching closely across Barrie, Innisfil, and Simcoe County is that buyers have more choices than they've had in years. That means homeowners facing financial pressure have less room for error when pricing their homes. If you're concerned about mortgage payments, speaking with a Realtor early isn't about deciding to sell; it's about understanding all of your options while you still have them.



Frequently Asked Questions About Power of Sale in Ontario



Why are more homes going into Power of Sale in Ontario in 2026?

Several factors are contributing to the increase in Power of Sale homes across Ontario. Many homeowners are renewing mortgages that were secured during the low-interest-rate years of 2020 and 2021, resulting in significantly higher monthly payments. At the same time, rising costs for groceries, insurance, property taxes, and everyday living have stretched many household budgets. While Power of Sale listings remain a small portion of the overall housing market, they have become more common in communities like Barrie, Innisfil, and across Simcoe County.


Is Ontario's housing market crashing?

No. Although Power of Sale listings have increased, they still represent a relatively small percentage of homes for sale. Most homeowners continue to make their mortgage payments successfully. Today's market simply offers buyers more inventory and more negotiating power than we've seen in recent years. Well-priced homes continue to sell, particularly in desirable communities like Barrie, Innisfil, and around Lake Simcoe.


What causes a home to go into Power of Sale?

A Power of Sale usually begins when a homeowner falls behind on mortgage payments and cannot bring the mortgage back into good standing. Financial hardship can happen for many reasons, including mortgage renewal payment increases, job loss, divorce, illness, rising living expenses, or unexpected life events. In most cases, it's the result of several financial pressures rather than one single issue.


Can you stop a Power of Sale in Ontario?

Yes. In many situations, homeowners can stop a Power of Sale before the property is sold. Options may include catching up on missed payments, negotiating with the lender, refinancing, or selling the property voluntarily before legal proceedings are completed. Acting early gives homeowners the greatest number of options.


What happens if I owe more on my mortgage than my home is worth?

If your mortgage balance is higher than what your home can realistically sell for, you may have a mortgage shortfall. For example, if you owe $1.2 million but your home sells for $870,000, there is approximately a $330,000 shortfall before selling costs and other amounts owing.

You generally cannot simply sell the property and walk away from the difference. The mortgage must be dealt with so it can be discharged from title, which may require involvement from your lender and lawyer. A Power of Sale also does not necessarily eliminate the remaining debt.

If you’re concerned, start early. A Realtor can determine what your home is realistically worth today, while your lender, lawyer, mortgage professional or other appropriate financial advisor can explain your options for dealing with the mortgage and any potential shortfall.


Is a Power of Sale the same as foreclosure?

No. Ontario primarily uses the Power of Sale process rather than foreclosure. With a Power of Sale, the lender has the legal right to sell the property to recover the mortgage debt, but the homeowner remains the legal owner until the sale is completed. If the property sells for more than what is owed, the remaining equity generally belongs to the homeowner after applicable costs are paid.


Can I buy a Power of Sale home with a mortgage?

Yes. Most buyers purchase Power of Sale properties using traditional mortgage financing. However, these homes are typically sold "as is," meaning the lender usually won't make repairs or provide warranties about the property's condition. Having an experienced Realtor, home inspector, and lawyer is especially important when purchasing a Power of Sale property.


Are Power of Sale homes always cheaper?

Not necessarily. While some Power of Sale properties may be priced below comparable homes to encourage a faster sale, others are listed at full market value. The lender's goal is to recover the outstanding mortgage balance, not necessarily to sell the property at a significant discount. Every property should be evaluated based on its condition, location, and comparable sales.


Should I sell my home before the bank starts the Power of Sale process?

In many cases, yes. Selling your home before legal action progresses allows you to remain in control of the sale, negotiate with buyers, choose your closing date, and potentially protect more of your equity. Every financial situation is different, but homeowners who seek professional advice early often have more options than those who wait until the lender has already started the process.


Are there more Power of Sale homes in Barrie, Innisfil, and Simcoe County?

Like many parts of Ontario, Barrie, Innisfil, and Simcoe County have seen an increase in Power of Sale listings compared to previous years. The rise appears to be driven by mortgage renewal payment increases, higher living costs, and changing market conditions rather than a single local issue. Buyers should evaluate each property individually rather than assuming every Power of Sale represents a bargain.


Who should I contact if I'm worried about missing my mortgage payments?

The earlier you seek advice, the more options you may have. Start by contacting your lender to discuss possible solutions. You may also benefit from speaking with a mortgage broker, a real estate lawyer, and an experienced Realtor who understands your local market. If you live in Barrie, Innisfil, or anywhere in Simcoe County, having a clear understanding of your home's current market value can be an important first step in deciding the best path forward.


You Don't Have to Navigate This Alone

If you're worried about your mortgage, thinking about selling, or simply wondering what your options are, don't wait until the situation becomes overwhelming.

I'm always happy to have a confidential conversation and point you in the right direction. If I can't help directly, I have a trusted network of mortgage brokers, real estate lawyers, financial professionals, and other experts throughout Barrie, Innisfil, and Simcoe County who may be able to help.

Sometimes, knowing your options is the first step toward finding the right solution.




Disclaimer: The information in this article is intended for general educational purposes only and should not be considered legal, financial, or mortgage advice. I am a licensed Real Estate Broker, not a lawyer, mortgage broker, or financial advisor. Every situation is unique, and I encourage you to seek advice from the appropriate qualified professionals before making any decisions.

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Mar 23, 2026

Stability in Mortgage Rates. But Not in Housing Supply.

After the latest decision from the Bank of Canada on March 18, 2026, one thing is clear:

Mortgage rates have been remarkably stable since October 2025.

But that’s not the real story shaping the housing market in 2026.

For buyers in Barrie, Innisfil, and across Simcoe County, this year is shaping up to be a market defined less by interest rates — and more by inventory.

And that shift matters more than most people realize.


The Market Feels Calm Right Now — But Calm Can Be Misleading

Across Ontario, including communities like Barrie, Innisfil, and Newmarket, the market feels… surprisingly calm.

Buyers are noticing:

  • More listings compared to the pandemic frenzy
  • Fewer bidding wars
  • More room to negotiate

For many, this creates a sense that there’s time to wait.

Buyers tell themselves:

  • “Maybe rates will drop more.”
  • “Maybe prices will soften again.”
  • “Maybe next spring will be better.”

But calm markets can create a false sense of security.

Because when confidence returns, the market can tighten very quickly.




Fixed Mortgage Rates May Have Already Hit Their Floor

In recent months, some lenders have offered aggressive 3-year fixed mortgage rates around 3.89%.

That’s encouraging.

But fixed rates follow bond yields — and those can shift quickly.

Which means the lowest rates may already be behind us, at least for now.

Many buyers assume mortgage rates will continue drifting downward.

Maybe they will.

But markets don’t move in straight lines — and they don’t always offer the same opportunity twice.


The Real Issue: Ontario’s Housing Supply Problem

While headlines focus on mortgage rates, the bigger story is supply.

According to projections from CMHC, housing starts in Ontario could fall to two-decade lows.

Ontario is already undersupplied by hundreds of thousands of homes — and slowing construction only widens that gap.

That matters far more than most buyers realize.

When fewer homes are built today, it creates a shortage of inventory tomorrow.

And when supply tightens while demand returns?

Competition comes back — often faster than expected.




Why Today’s Buyers Still Have an Advantage

Right now, buyers still have something incredibly valuable:

Time.

Time to:

  • Explore the market
  • Compare properties
  • Negotiate conditions
  • Make thoughtful decisions

That breathing room rarely exists in highly competitive markets.

Today’s environment offers:

  • More choice
  • Less pressure
  • Better negotiating power

But if supply continues to lag, that window can close.


Waiting Feels Safe — Until It Isn’t

Many buyers believe waiting is the safe strategy.

But waiting only works if the future becomes more favorable.

Consider what could happen if:

  • Mortgage rates stay stable
  • Buyer confidence improves
  • More buyers re-enter the market
  • New construction remains weak

That combination can quickly create more competition and fewer choices.

Waiting feels safe.
 But in real estate, “safe” often just means delayed competition.



Why Prepared Buyers Win in This Market

The buyers who succeed in this type of market aren’t the ones trying to predict the exact bottom of interest rates.

They’re the ones who are prepared.

They typically:

  • Understand their budget
  • Secure mortgage pre-approval
  • Monitor the market closely
  • Act confidently when the right property appears

Because trying to perfectly time mortgage rates is a little like predicting when a teenager will clean their room.

Possible in theory.

Not a strategy you should rely on.


What Buyers Should Focus On Instead

If you're thinking about buying in 2026, the smarter question isn’t:

“Will rates drop again?”

It’s:

“Am I prepared if the market becomes more competitive?”

A strong buying strategy includes:

✔ A realistic monthly budget
✔ Mortgage pre-approval
✔ Understanding current interest rate trends
✔ Awareness of local inventory levels
✔ Readiness to act when the right home appears

This approach allows buyers to move strategically — not emotionally.




The Bottom Line

The housing market in 2026 isn’t chaotic.

In fact, it feels relatively stable.

But that stability may be hiding a bigger shift.

  • Mortgage rates are holding steady
  • Housing supply is not

And that imbalance matters.

If construction continues to slow while buyer demand returns, the market could tighten much faster than expected.

The market doesn’t reward perfect timing — it rewards positioning.

Which means the buyers who prepare today may find themselves in a far better position than those waiting indefinitely for a “perfect” moment that may never clearly arrive.

The next interest rate announcement from the Bank of Canada is scheduled for April 29, 2026 — and many buyers will be watching closely.




Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Are mortgage rates expected to drop in 2026?

Mortgage rates may fluctuate depending on inflation, bond yields, and Bank of Canada decisions. While some expect gradual easing, predicting exact timing is extremely difficult.


Is 2026 a good time to buy a home in Ontario?

For prepared buyers, 2026 may present opportunities due to increased inventory and less competition. However, future supply shortages could shift market conditions quickly.


Why is housing supply such a big issue in Ontario?

Ontario has faced a housing shortage for years. When housing starts decline, fewer homes become available in future years — which can push prices higher when demand increases.


Should buyers wait for lower interest rates?

Waiting can work if rates drop significantly. But if more buyers re-enter the market at the same time, increased competition may offset those savings through higher prices.


Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, legal, or mortgage advice. Real estate markets change, and individual situations vary. Always consult qualified professionals before making real estate decisions.


Thinking About Buying or Selling in Simcoe County?

If you’re thinking about buying or selling in Barrie, Innisfil, or Simcoe County, strategy matters more than timing.

I can walk you through exactly what’s happening in your price range — so you can make a decision with clarity, not guesswork.

Gemma Leggett
Realtor® | RE/MAX Hallmark York Group
Innisfil • Barrie • Simcoe County



...
Jan 26, 2026

How to actually build the courage (and the cash) to go from renting indefinitely to owning your dream home — even if you love Amazon, Starbucks, and weekend brunch.


🔥 What Is the FHSA? And Why It’s a Game‑Changer

The First Home Savings Account (FHSA) is a registered savings plan created by the Government of Canada to help first‑time buyers save tax‑free for their first home. It blends the best parts of an RRSP and a TFSA — tax deductions when you put money in + tax‑free growth, and tax‑free withdrawals when you buy. That’s why savvy savers call it a financial superhero for first homes.

Here’s what that looks like:

🧠 Tax Deduction Now: Your FHSA contributions reduce your taxable income — meaning you pay less tax this year.
🌱 Tax‑Free Growth: Investments inside your FHSA grow tax‑free as long as the money remains in the account.
🏡 Tax‑Free Down Payment: When you use the money to buy your first home, withdrawals are tax‑free. No sneaky tax bite at the end.


🧾 FHSA Rules You MUST Know (2026)

🧑‍💻 Eligibility

You can open an FHSA if you are:
✔ A Canadian resident
✔ 18–71 years old by December 31 of the tax year you open it
✔ A first‑time homebuyer (no ownership in current year or last four years)

💰 Contribution Limits

📌 Annual cap: $8,000 per year
📌 Lifetime cap: $40,000 total
📌 Unused room: You can carry forward unused contribution room — up to $8,000 per year — but you cannot stack more than that to create huge annual lump sums.

⚠ Importantly — FHSA contribution room only starts the year you open the account. So opening it sooner gives you more room over time, even if you don’t use it right away.

📅 Timing Tip (2026 Strategy):

If you opened your FHSA before Dec 31, 2025, you already got an extra $8,000 room for 2025 + another $8,000 for 2026 — meaning you could contribute up to $16,000 early in 2026 if you haven’t put anything in yet.


📉 What Happens When You Withdraw?

🏠 Qualifying Withdrawal

To be tax‑free:
✔ You must be a first‑time homebuyer when you withdraw
✔ You must be a Canadian resident when you withdraw
✔ You must have a written purchase agreement by Oct 1 of the year after the withdrawal
✔ You must intend to occupy the home as your principal residence within one year

👉 If all these are met — your money comes out tax‑free to use for a down payment, closing costs, or other qualifying purchase expenses.

❌ Non‑Qualifying Withdrawal

If you take money out for anything other than a first home, the amount becomes taxable income. That’s why FHSA is designed to keep your savings focused on that first home goal.


🔄 Rolling and Transferring: Smart Moves

🔁 RRSP → FHSA

You can transfer funds from your RRSP to your FHSA tax‑free — but this does not give you a new tax deduction (only the FHSA cash contributions do).

🔁 FHSA → RRSP/RRIF (If You Don’t Buy)

If you don’t end up using your FHSA for a first home, you can transfer the balance to your RRSP or RRIF without tax consequences. That’s like bonus retirement savings.

⚠ Contribution room to RRSP must exist at that time — check your latest CRA My Account to confirm.


📊 FHSA vs RRSP vs TFSA — Quick Reality Check

AccountTax DeductibleTax‑Free GrowthTax‑Free Withdrawals for First HomePayback Required?
FHSA✅ Yes✅ Yes✅ Yes❌ No
RRSP (HBP)✅ YesTax‑DeferredYes (HBP)Yes (Repay over 15 yrs)
TFSA❌ No✅ YesYes (Any reason)❌ No

Long story short: FHSA is the best first step for first‑time buyers because it gives deductions now and tax‑free money when you buy — no repayment required.


🌱 What You Can Invest Inside Your FHSA

Your FHSA isn’t just a savings jar: you can hold investments like:
✔ ETFs
✔ Stocks
✔ Mutual funds
✔ Bonds
✔ GICs
✔ Other qualified securities (check with your institution)

💡 That means your money can grow faster than inflation, instead of just sitting in a regular savings account.


🤯 Real‑World Examples (2026)

⭐ Example 1 — “Smart Starter”

Sarah opens her FHSA in January 2026 and contributes $8,000. She also had $8,000 of unused 2025 room, so her total potential contribution in Jan 2026 is $16,000 — instantly lowering her taxable income for 2026 taxes.

⭐ Example 2 — “Couple Power Move”

Tom and Lily both open FHSAs. Each contributes $40,000 lifetime maximum. Together they have up to $80,000 in tax‑free first home funds — plus the option to stack RRSP HBP funds if needed.


💥 Why Buying Beats Renting (Yes, Even With Amazon & Lattes)

Let’s be real: immediate gratification rules our generation. Amazon Prime delivers everything in two days, Starbucks makes mornings feel better, and social media makes today’s life look so good. But here’s the kicker:

Renting is the ultimate subscription you never win.
You pay someone else’s mortgage instead of building your own equity.

🔑 The Psychology of Ownership

Instead of spending $$ on things that disappear (that extra latte, the new gadget, the impulse buy), imagine this:

✔ Your savings: building equity
✔ Your home: a place that’s yours
✔ Your mortgage: funding your future

Every dollar you put toward owning strengthens your confidence, financial security, and long‑term wealth.

According to psychology principles like those Tony Robbins teaches:
👉 Meaning comes from progress, not consumption.
People who save and invest toward purposeful goals feel more in control, more empowered, and more fulfilled — even if it means saying no to instant gratification today.

Owning isn’t just about houses — it’s about freedom:
✔ Freedom from rent increases
✔ Freedom to customize your space
✔ Freedom to build real wealth

Fear of commitment can keep people renting forever. Fear of missing out keeps us buying things we don’t need. But what we gain from investing in our first home — discipline, confidence, security — that’s crazily powerful.


❓ FHSA Q&A — All the Questions You Want Answered

Q: Can I open an FHSA even if I already own a home that I sold a few years ago?
A: You must not have owned a home in the current year or four previous years. If you sold more than four years ago, you may be eligible. Check CRA rules or talk to your advisor.

Q: Can both partners use FHSA funds for the same home?
A: Yes! If both you and your partner qualify, you each can withdraw tax‑free toward the same qualifying home purchase.

Q: Can FHSA room stack across years?
A: Yes — your unused annual $8,000 limit carries forward to future years (max $8,000 carry).

Q: Can I use FHSA and RRSP HBP together?
A: Yes! You can use both plans for the same home purchase — your FHSA stays tax‑free and your RRSP under HBP needs repayment over 15 years.

Q: What if I never buy a home?
A: You can transfer your FHSA savings to an RRSP or RRIF without immediate tax consequences — effectively boosting retirement savings.


📢 Final Thought: Start Now! Not Later

The biggest advantage you have is time. Every year you don’t open and fund your FHSA is missed opportunity:
✔ Missed tax deductions
✔ Missed investment growth
✔ Missed equity building

Waiting for “the perfect moment” often becomes a lifetime of renting — and that’s a hard habit to break.

Don’t let Amazon Prime and impulse purchases steal your future.
 Put that same energy into building something real: your home, your equity, your freedom.


📜 Disclaimer

This blog is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor or tax professional before making decisions about your FHSA, investments, or home purchase. Information is based on current rules and may change.


✅ Ready to Turn Saving Into Ownership?

Understanding the FHSA is one thing — using it strategically in today’s Ontario market is another.

If you’re renting in Barrie, Innisfil, or anywhere in Simcoe County and wondering:

  • How much home you could actually afford in 2026

  • How to time your FHSA savings with the local market

  • When it makes sense to stop renting and start building equity

That’s where having a local expert matters.

I live and work in this market every day. I help first-time buyers connect the dots between smart saving, real numbers, and real homes — without pressure, without fluff, and without rushing you before you’re ready.

📩 If you want a clear, honest plan: let’s talk.
Whether you’re 6 months out or 3 years away, I’ll help you map out your next best move so when you do buy, you do it confidently.

Your future home starts with the right information and the right local guidance.




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